Predictions

Everyone else is doing it — so I, too, will go way out on a limb, putting my very credibility as a political and social observer at risk:

TOP 10 PREDICTIONS FOR 2006

1. Bad things will happen in the world.
2. Good things will also happen.
3. Conservative bloggers will blame liberals for the former.
4. Conservative bloggers will take credit for the latter.
5. Winter will be followed by spring.
6. Bill O’Reilly will act like an egomaniacal buffoon.
7. Spring will be followed by summer.
8. New revelations will prove the Bushies to be even more corrupt and incompetent than we already thought, and we already thought they were pretty darned corrupt and incompetent.
9. Americans will be afraid of something.
10. George W. Bush will pull off his human flesh-mask on live tv, revealing his true identity as the ancient and monstrous entity, Cthulhu.

Okay, that last one is kind of a wild card.

Mr. McBobo

My standard response in reading a David Brooks column is, “Has he ever–?” As in: “Has he ever meet/seen/experienced the person, place, or thing upon which he is opining?” His Sunday column, replete with the usual strawmen (or more accurately, straw-women), does not disappoint.

First, she’s wrong with her astonishing assertion that high-paying jobs lead to more human flourishing than parenthood. Look back over your life. Which memories do you cherish more, those with your family or those at the office? If Hirshman thinks high-paying careers lead to more human flourishing, I invite her to spend a day as an associate at a big law firm.

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Her third mistake is to not even grapple with the fact that men and women are wired differently. The Larry Summers flap produced an outpouring of work on the neurological differences between men and women. I’d especially recommend “The Inequality Taboo” by Charles Murray in Commentary and a debate between Steven Pinker and Elizabeth Spelke in the online magazine Edge.

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Hirshman has it exactly backward. Power is in the kitchen. The big problem is not the women who stay there but the men who leave.

Brooks’ main schtick, as Amanda puts it, is “(talking) up the virtues of the peasants from his his little New York enclave that protects him from actually having to mingle with them.” (He’s actually a DC guy, but you get the point.) According to his bio, Brooks is married with two children — which raises a few questions:

Does Mr. Brooks find fulfillment in the pursuit of his career?

Does his wife work, and if so, why? Does the Brooks family simply need the income, or does his wife — as much as she may love her children — also find fulfillment in pursuing her career?

Does the Brooks family employ a nanny to help raise their own children?

And finally, along with Amanda, I wonder how soon David Brooks will be quitting his job to stay home as a full time dad?

Afterthought…I am reminded of this Brooks column from last year, in which Mr. McBobo expresses a similarly obtuse view of women in the workplace:

This is not necessarily the sequence she would choose if she were starting from scratch. For example, it might make more sense to go to college, make a greater effort to marry early and have children. Then, if she, rather than her spouse, wants to stay home, she could raise children from age 25 to 35. Then at 35 (now that she knows herself better) she could select a flexible graduate program specifically designed for parents. Then she could work in one uninterrupted stint from, say, 40 to 70.

This option would allow her to raise kids during her most fertile years and work during her mature ones, and the trade-off between family and career might be less onerous.

Because, you know, there’s nothing employers value more than someone starting their career track at the age of 40.

Apparently, to Brooks, women are to be viewed as baby-making machines first, and as human beings secondarily at best.

More Torture Memos

Former British Ambassador to Uzbekistan Craig Murray is defying a gag-order and publishing torture memos on his blog relating to the coordination between the Uzbek, British, and American governments. As Kos says, it’s brutal :

Last year the US gave half a billion dollars in aid to Uzbekistan, about a quarter of it military aid. Bush and Powell repeatedly hail Karimov as a friend and ally. Yet this regime has at least seven thousand prisoners of conscience; it is a one party state without freedom of speech, without freedom of media, without freedom of movement, without freedom of assembly, without freedom of religion. It practices, systematically, the most hideous tortures on thousands. Most of the population live in conditions precisely analogous with medieval serfdom.

Uzbekistan’s geo-strategic position is crucial. It has half the population of the whole of Central Asia. It alone borders all the other states in a region which is important to future Western oil and gas supplies. It is the regional military power. That is why the US is here, and here to stay. Contractors at the US military bases are extending the design life of the buildings from ten to twenty five years.

Democracy and human rights are, despite their protestations to the contrary, in practice a long way down the US agenda here. Aid this year will be slightly less, but there is no intention to introduce any meaningful conditionality. Nobody can believe this level of aid – more than US aid to all of West Africa – is related to comparative developmental need as opposed to political support for Karimov. While the US makes token and low-level references to human rights to appease domestic opinion, they view Karimov’s vicious regime as a bastion against fundamentalism. He – and they – are in fact creating fundamentalism. When the US gives this much support to a regime that tortures people to death for having a beard or praying five times a day, is it any surprise that Muslims come to hate the West?
. . .
The torture record of the Uzbek security services could hardly be more widely known. Plainly there are, at the very least, reasonable grounds for believing the material is obtained under torture. There is helpful guidance at Article 3 of the UN Convention;
“The competent authorities shall take into account all relevant considerations including, where applicable, the existence in the state concerned of a consistent pattern of gross, flagrant or mass violations of human rights.” While this article forbids extradition or deportation to Uzbekistan, it is the right test for the present question also.

On the usefulness of the material obtained, this is irrelevant. Article 2 of the Convention, to which we are a party, could not be plainer:

“No exceptional circumstances whatsoever, whether a state of war or a threat of war, internal political instability or any other public emergency, may be invoked as a justification of torture.”

Nonetheless, I repeat that this material is useless – we are selling our souls for dross. It is in fact positively harmful. It is designed to give the message the Uzbeks want the West to hear. It exaggerates the role, size, organisation and activity of the IMU and its links with Al Qaida. The aim is to convince the West that the Uzbeks are a vital cog against a common foe, that they should keep the assistance, especially military assistance, coming, and that they should mute the international criticism on human rights and economic reform.

Here’s what that partnership looks like in action :

At the Khuderbegainov trial I met an old man from Andizhan. Two of his children had been tortured in front of him until he signed a confession on the family’s links with Bin Laden. Tears were streaming down his face. I have no doubt they had as much connection with Bin Laden as I do. This is the standard of the Uzbek intelligence services.

And this is the standard that we’re living under with a President who looks the other way while children are being tortured.

To the fools out there who routinely praise the President for having the “moral clarity” to call terrorists evil, how can you reconcile that with the chummy relationship he’s made with tyrants? The lesser of two evils argument doesn’t really work when you chide anyone whose view of fighting terrorism is more nuanced than “smoke them out of their holes” and you verbally fellate the President for being “right on the only issue that matters”. You’re either in favor of moral relativism or you’re not.

Of course, coming up with a worldview that’s logically consistent has it’s troubles, since it would naturally lead to having an open, honest debate about whether or not the United States should be torturing people. Which is why the Administration (and their sycophantic toadies) ignore the substance of the seemingly-neverending stream of torture memos in the hopes of running out the clock (ie. news cycle) with their vehement denials to misstated questioning.

But to take things back to square one, it should be repeated again and again that this would all stop if the President wanted it to. With a phonecall to the Uzbek government, he could threated to eliminate foreign aid until human rights abuses ceased. With a stroke of his pen, he could fire Donald Rumsfeld and replace him with a Defense Secretary serious about curbing detainee abuse. Working with Congressional leaders, he could cooperate with stymied investigations into torture. For the most powerful man in the world, the torture of innocent people could be eliminated tomorrow if he cared enough.

Why he hasn’t done any of these things leads us back to the eternal debate about the presidency of George W. Bush. Is he so isolated from bad news that he has no idea about the abuses that are happening on his watch? Is he a callous monster who thinks the torture of innocents is justified by the “greater good” of whatever the hell he’s trying to accomplish? Or is it a combination of the two? Either way, I don’t know how much longer we can afford to have the reputation of the United States tarnished while we ponder the endless “idiot or asshole?” debate.

Game of four

All right, Greg, I’ll play:

Four jobs you’ve had in your life: Busboy, picture framer, t-shirt production artist, sullen copy store clerk

Four movies you could watch over and over: Goodfellas, LA Confidential, The Usual Suspects, Harold and Maude

Four places you’ve lived: Iowa City, Iowa; Hardy, Arkansas; San Francisco; Brooklyn

Four TV shows you love to watch: Arrested Development, Battlestar Galactica (new version), Firefly, The Daily Show

Four places you’ve been on vacation: Paris, London, Lisbon, Budapest

Four websites you visit daily: Eschaton, Kos, alicublog, TBogg

Four of your favorite foods: Malai kofta, chicken satay, chicken curry (gang garee), Ritter Sport Milk Chocolate Coconut candy bars

Four places you’d rather be: San Francisco, San Francisco, San Francisco, San Francisco.

Four albums you can’t live without: Right now? Kristen Hersh, Hips and Makers; Neil Young, Decade (really three albums, so I’m cheating); The The, Infected; U2, October. Next week? probably something entirely different.

Next four tagged: Bob Harris, Billmon, August Pollak, TBogg. You’re it.

Arrgh

I am trying to celebrate the birth of the Baby Jesus in an appropriately capitalistic, if secular, fashion. But every time I try to get out, they drag me back in.

Which is to say, I am unable to resist commenting on Maureen Dowd’s column today. Actually, it’s not Maureen Dowd’s column, per se — to give herself a little extra holiday time off, she’s turned over the bulk of her column to her brother Kevin, a man who has apparently learned everything he knows about the world from Bill O’Reilly talking points.

Go back two generations and you will find the real diversity that made our country the greatest in the world. Immigrants brought their customs with them and were accepted. We were taught by our parents to respect the customs and religious beliefs of other people.

Let’s see. Two generations back puts us roughly at 1946. As my wife points out, it was an era of anti-immigrant laws and Jim Crow — not exactly the golden age of tolerance Mr. Dowd imagines.

The rest of the column continues in that vein, a compendium of right wing lies and nonsense:

To the P.C. Elites: The founding fathers guaranteed Freedom OF Religion, not Freedom FROM Religion. Please go away, you are making my hair hurt.

To Target: You better check the sales and profit numbers that are CHRISTMAS related before you ban the word.

To Bill O’Reilly: Thank you for dragging the P.C. crowd into the open. Maybe they will learn that America doesn’t want to be de-Godded.

To Judge Jones of Pennsylvania: No Intelligent Design? You are going to be hoping for a Big Bang if St. Peter is checking ID’s.

To President Bush: Stay the Course. The same people that are calling for troop withdrawal were under their beds on 9/12/01 screaming “Kill the Infidels!” Let’s fight them there instead of here and bring our troops home with honor as soon as possible.

I guess most of this pretty much speaks for itself, a kind of Rorschach blot defining whether or not the reader is an idiot. But I really can’t let that last bit pass without comment. Speaking as someone who lived in Brooklyn in September of 2001 — one of many thousands of New Yorkers who witnessed the collapse of the towers firsthand — I can assure you that neither I nor anyone I knew spent the next day under the bed calling for the death of infidels. Actually, now that I think of it — isn’t ‘infidel’ the term we generally imagine al Qaeda to use in reference to us? Either Kevin Dowd is indulging himself with a very sophisticated little piece of satire, imagining America haters hiding under the bed calling for their own deaths, or he’s a complete moron who can’t even keep his Bill O’Reilly talking points straight.

We report, you decide.

I hope Maureen had a lovely day off, but it really is extraordinary that the Times would agree to run something that reads like the deranged rantings of a not-very-bright, seventh-tier wingnut blogger.

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One quick unrelated update: Via Kos, I see that the Little Red Book/Homeland Security story was a hoax. I’m usually pretty good at spotting these things — and in fact, I didn’t post anything on this one when I got the initial email until I tracked down the source of the story. Unfortunately it appears that the newspaper in question didn’t exactly exercise due dilgence themselves.

Of course, the story about the government spying on its own citizens remains all too real.

… the more I think about this, the more it pisses me off. This little lying putz has handed the righties a tailor-made propaganda point, perfectly designed to distract attention from the real issue at hand. Thanks, chief.