WGA Strike : Lying With Numbers

Atrios catches some anti-WGA strike bias on CNBC, a network that prides itself in catering to “business executives and financial professionals that have significant purchasing power”. The chyron reads :

WHAT ARE THEY FIGHTING FOR?

4,434 Hollywood guild writers worked full-time last year.

Average salary: $204,000

Many earned $1 million or more

Well, to answer CNBC’s question, they aren’t fighting for “significant purchasing power”. They’re fighting for the financial security that would allow their members to remain in the middle class.

Middle class? Two hundred grand sounds like a good deal, but remember that’s the average salary. This number was chosen specifically because CNBC and the studios on whose behalf they’re arguing want you to believe that most writers are spoiled brats whining about their six-figure incomes. But in a case like this in which a deliberately-vague “many” WGA members earn over $1 million, the “average” income is misleading. A much more important measurement of writers income is the median.

For a good illustration of the difference between “average” and “median” incomes, let me refer you to this graph from the classic book “How to Lie With Statistics” (used without permission. go buy it now!) :


howtoliewithstatistics.gif

If you add up all of the salaries and divide it by the number of employees, you come up with an “average” that is a poor indicator of an ordinary worker’s income. After all, Mr. Moneybags at the top brings home more than twenty times what the dozen peons at the bottom of the graph make. And this “average” income is only earned by one person, who earns more than 20 of the 24 employees on the chart. While the “average” in this case is mathematically correct, it doesn’t represent the typical income. Or to use an oft-cited example, if Bill Gates walked into a homeless shelter, the “average” income would skyrocket, but it wouldn’t change the fact that everyone else is poor.

Now let’s go back to the WGA strike. Thanks to our friends at CNBC, we know that the “average” WGA member makes $200K, but what’s the median income? According to an LA Times op-ed written by a WGA board member :

“The median income of screen and television writers from their guild-covered employment is $5,000 a year, in part because almost half our members don’t work in any given year.”

Five. Thousand. Dollars. Now keep that figure in mind when you see these CEOs gush about how much money they’ll be making :




CNBC wants to know “What are they fighting for?”. Well, considering that writers aren’t even being paid for this “golden era”, the WGA is fighting to keep their five thousand dollars from being taken away in the future. Sounds pretty reasonable to me.

We will demand…one TRILLION dollars

Here’s Hillary Clinton in the debate last night, responding to Obama’s proposal to raise the payroll cap for Social Security:

CLINTON: I do not want to fix the problems of Social Security on the backs of middle class families and seniors. If you lift the cap completely, that is a $1 trillion tax increase.

This is why my strategy is to hate all leaders, at all times, in all circumstances.

First, Obama uses right-wing talking points to tell us how we must be VERY VERY WORRIED about Social Security, so he can portray himself as a BOLD TRUTH TELLER.

Then, Clinton uses right-wing talking points to attack him for proposing a MASSIVE TAX INCREASE so she can portray herself as NOT A DIRTY TAX-RAISING LIBERAL.

In reality, there’s no reason to fret about Social Security or change it at all now. Obama is trying to scare us by thinking there is.

But if we have to change things in the future, the changes necessary would be minor. Clinton is trying to scare us by throwing around huge numbers most people don’t understand. The $1 trillion tax increase she’s talking about would be over 75 years, during which time the U.S. GDP is projected to be $600 trillion. It would also only affect the best-off people in America. (Moreover, Clinton’s numbers are wrong; eliminating the payroll cap would be more like a $4 trillion tax increase, depending on how you measure it. I suspect she lowballed it in order to make her fearmongering more credible.)

So hand in hand, Obama and Clinton each endorse one-half of the right-wing story, adding up to one gruesome whole. Here’s Sean Hannity, speaking to you during the recession of 2012:

HANNITY: How can you criticize Republican proposals to privatize Social Security, when even Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton agree we should be VERY VERY WORRIED and that the only alternative to privatization is a MASSIVE TAX INCREASE?

AND: This is yet another example of the Iron Law of Institutions.

(Thanks to Dean Baker for help with the specific numbers.)

Robert Parry DC-area book event this Saturday

If you’re in the Washington, D.C. area, you might want to check out Robert Parry, one of the greatest investigative reporters in the United States, speaking about his new book Neck Deep: The Disastrous Presidency of George W. Bush this Saturday in Arlington, Virginia:

Robert Parry, author of Neck Deep
Saturday, November 17th, 4 p.m.
Busboys and Poets
4251 South Campbell Avenue
Shirlington Village, Arlington, VA
(off I-395 at the Glebe Road-Shirlington exit)

Note this is not the Busboys and Poets store actually in Washington. More information, including directions, is available on the Busboys and Poets site.

Even if you’re not in Washington, check out Parry’s new article, “How False Narratives Work”, for background on some genuinely shocking Republican/media lies that almost no one knows about. It involves Scooter Libby before he got famous.

Daily Show writers on writers strike

If I were Viacom, it would be worth a lot of money to me to get them to stop making fun of me this effectively:

…and not to get all political on you, but there’s a sense in which “paying them a lot of money to stop making fun of Viacom” is exactly what the Daily Show is. It brings a ton of very talented people together, and pays them to produce something which—while extremely insightful about the media—really can’t deal with something even deeper and more important: corporate power and commercial culture. Once the show’s back on the air, it won’t be featuring anything like this.

MORE: Steve Bodow, the Daily Show’s head writer, on the strike. And since he mentions Clifford Odets, here’s S.J. Perelman’s parody of Odets’ play “Waiting for Lefty,” “Waiting for Santy.”

More notes

–Signed prints are available again after some technical difficulties. I’ve upgraded printers and can now offer archival quality. Link’s to your left, below the ad for Bob’s book (scroll down). Remember, Christmas cutoff is 12-7.

–Had a little mishap earlier today, and as a result got a finger in a splint. Won’t affect cartooning (it’s on the left hand) but typing’s a real bitch, so I probably won’t be a real strong presence around here for a few days. (co-bloggers should feel free to take things over… )